AA 2003 · SEA → DFW

departs 11:22 PM PT · arrives 5:18 AM CT

Forecast issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · 14h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

41% chance · ±1 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 35% of the time recently

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.25 mi forecast at SEA that day

↓ Cloud base down to 800 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

Weather at each end

SEA (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.25 mi Precipnone

DFW (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.18 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2003 · SEA → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?