Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2114 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, October 4

AA 2114 · DFW → MEM

departs 7:04 AM CT · arrives 8:35 AM CT

Forecast issued Fri 9:00 AM ET · 47h before departure

Arrive at MEM more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±2 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MEM?

On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 1 mi forecast at MEM that day

↑ This flight has been late 24% of the time recently

↑ DFW is prone to delays

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.08 in

MEM (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.09 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2114 · DFW → MEM

Odds over time

How late will it get to MEM?