Schedule: a typical Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2122 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, October 4

AA 2122 · DFW → MFE

departs 8:20 AM CT · arrives 9:57 AM CT

Forecast issued Thu 4:00 PM ET · 65h before departure

Arrive at MFE more than 15 minutes late?

26% chance · ±4 pts +11 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MFE?

On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at MFE that day

↑ DFW is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 25% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling1,400 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.04 in

MFE (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.86 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2122 · DFW → MFE

Odds over time

How late will it get to MFE?