Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2122 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, October 4 Tomorrow

AA 2122 · MFE → DFW

departs 10:37 AM CT · arrives 12:21 PM CT

Forecast issued Sat 7:00 AM ET · 29h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

33% chance · ±2 pts −5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
11%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 25 kt, cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.9 in of rain forecast at MFE that day

↑ This flight has been late 30% of the time recently

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↓ MFE usually runs smoothly

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

MFE (origin) Gusts25 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.85 in

DFW (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility8 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2122 · MFE → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?