AA 2192 · ORD → PHX

took off 10:51 AM CT · landed 12:02 PM MT (scheduled 10:37 AM CT → 12:28 PM MT)

Forecast issued Sun 2:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±1 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to PHX?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 10am departures from ORD are often late

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 26% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

↓ Gusts to 27 kt forecast at PHX that day

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PHX (destination) Gusts26 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2192 · ORD → PHX

Odds over time

How late did it get to PHX?