Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2223 SCHEDULED · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Sunday, October 4 Today

AA 2223 · LGA → ORD

departs 9:44 AM ET · arrives 10:43 AM CT

Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?

21% chance · ±0 pts +9 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ 9am departures from LGA are often late

↑ LGA is prone to delays

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

LGA (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.10 in

ORD (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2223 · LGA → ORD

Odds over time