AA 2238 · LGA → DFW

departs 6:57 PM ET · arrives 9:39 PM CT

Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 12h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

50% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
49%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
32%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
11%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late

↑ 6pm departures from LGA are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Other factors

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

LGA (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.10 in

DFW (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.08 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2238 · LGA → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?