Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2307 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, October 4

AA 2307 · DFW → PIT

departs 2:57 PM CT · arrives 6:43 PM ET

Forecast issued Fri 5:00 PM ET · 47h before departure

Arrive at PIT more than 15 minutes late?

30% chance · ±2 pts −5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PIT?

On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 2pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ This flight has been late 29% of the time recently

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ PIT usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.03 in

PIT (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling4,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2307 · DFW → PIT

Odds over time

How late will it get to PIT?