Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2413 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, October 4

AA 2413 · RIC → DFW

departs 3:19 PM ET · arrives 5:38 PM CT

Forecast issued Fri 9:00 PM ET · 42h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

42% chance · ±4 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.4 mi, 1.0 in of rain forecast at RIC that day

↑ Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 33% of the time recently

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

RIC (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.4 mi Precip0.60 in

DFW (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.02 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2413 · RIC → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?