Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2428 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, October 4 Tomorrow

AA 2428 · DFW → RSW

departs 7:15 AM CT · arrives 10:57 AM ET

Forecast issued Sat 7:00 AM ET · 25h before departure

Arrive at RSW more than 15 minutes late?

15% chance · ±1 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to RSW?

On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 30% of the time recently

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ DFW is prone to delays

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility8 mi Precipnone

RSW (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling10,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.17 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2428 · DFW → RSW

Odds over time

How late will it get to RSW?