tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2683 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AA 2683 · SNA → JFK

departs 11:48 AM PT · arrives 8:29 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 5:00 AM ET · 58h before departure
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
53% chance · ±3 pts – · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 5.7d Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to JFK?

  1. On time or early
    46%
  2. 15–30 min late
    15%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    13%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    17%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    7%
  6. Cancelled
    2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.