AA 2693 · DFW → RDU

departs 9:32 AM CT · arrives 1:26 PM ET

Forecast issued Sat 2:00 PM ET · 20h before departure

Arrive at RDU more than 15 minutes late?

37% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to RDU?

On time or early
61%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ 9am departures from DFW are often late

↑ This flight has been late 27% of the time recently

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.06 in

RDU (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.41 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2693 · DFW → RDU

Odds over time

How late will it get to RDU?