Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2743 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, October 4

AA 2743 · STT → DFW

departs 2:28 PM AST · arrives 7:10 PM CT

Forecast issued Fri 4:00 PM ET · 46h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

31% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late

↑ DFW is prone to delays

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ STT usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

STT (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling4,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

DFW (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling1,033 ft Visibility8 mi Precip0.03 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2743 · STT → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?