AA 2768 · DFW → SAT

departs 11:56 AM CT · arrives 1:14 PM CT

Forecast issued Sat 2:00 PM ET · 23h before departure

Arrive at SAT more than 15 minutes late?

42% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SAT?

On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 19% of the time recently

↑ 11am departures from DFW are often late

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Arrivals into SAT at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.06 in

SAT (destination) Gusts26 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility5 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2768 · DFW → SAT

Odds over time

How late will it get to SAT?