AA 2837 · BOS → ORD

departs 6:16 PM ET · arrives 8:10 PM CT

Forecast issued Sun 4:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?

89% chance · ±0 pts −18 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to ORD?

On time or early
54%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late

↑ 6pm departures from BOS are often late

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

BOS (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ORD (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2837 · BOS → ORD

Odds over time

How late will it get to ORD?