Schedule: FAA flight plans.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2861 SCHEDULED
Today

AA 2861 · DFW → EWR

departs 2:45 PM CT · arrives 7:30 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 3:00 AM ET · 13h before departure

Odds over time

Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?
64% chance · ±0 pts +34 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 5.7d 2d 1d Now 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to EWR?

  1. On time or early
    36%
  2. 15–30 min late
    23%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    17%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    17%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    7%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.