AA 2902 · PHX → DFW

departs 1:08 PM MT · arrives 5:40 PM CT

Forecast issued Sun 1:00 PM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

42% chance · ±0 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
21%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ Cloud base down to 800 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↓ Gusts to 27 kt forecast at PHX that day

↓ PHX usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

PHX (origin) Gusts27 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DFW (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.16 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2902 · PHX → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?