AA 3023 · DFW → IAH

departs 10:55 PM CT · arrives 12:14 AM CT

Forecast issued Sun 5:00 PM ET · 7h before departure

Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?

72% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to IAH?

On time or early
28%
15–30 min late
41%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ 10pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ This flight has been late 40% of the time recently

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.23 in

IAH (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 3023 · DFW → IAH

Odds over time

How late will it get to IAH?