AA 3026 · IAH → DFW

departs 6:54 AM CT · arrives 8:13 AM CT

Forecast issued Sun 3:00 AM ET · 5h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

37% chance · ±0 pts +9 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
23%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at DFW that day

↑ Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 6am departures from IAH are usually not late

Weather at each end

IAH (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.08 in

DFW (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.09 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 3026 · IAH → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?