Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 3077 LANDED 5:14 AM CT, ~12 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Sunday, October 4 Today

AA 3077 · LAS → ORD

took off 12:05 AM PT · landed 5:14 AM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sun 5:00 AM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±1 pts +12 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ 12am departures from LAS are often late

↑ LAS is prone to delays

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS

Weather at each end

LAS (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ORD (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 3077 · LAS → ORD

Odds over time