Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 3095 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, October 4 Tomorrow

AA 3095 · TUL → DFW

departs 7:47 AM CT · arrives 9:12 AM CT

Forecast issued Sat 2:00 AM ET · 31h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

28% chance · ±1 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at DFW that day

↑ DFW is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 24% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at TUL

↓ 7am departures from TUL are usually not late

Weather at each end

TUL (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling4,167 ft Visibility5 mi Precipnone

DFW (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.02 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 3095 · TUL → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?