AA 3269 · AVL → DFW

departs 8:01 AM ET · arrives 9:34 AM CT

Forecast issued Sun 2:00 AM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

31% chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 35% of the time recently

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at DFW that day

↓ 8am departures from AVL are usually not late

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

AVL (origin) Gusts3 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.12 in

DFW (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 3269 · AVL → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?