Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 3317SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AA 3317 · JAX → ORD
departs 5:58 PM ET · arrives 7:59 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 3:00 PM ET · 51h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
30%chance · ±4 pts– · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.