AA 336 · DFW → PHX

took off 1:36 PM CT · landed 1:37 PM MT (scheduled 12:27 PM CT → 1:05 PM MT)

Forecast issued Sun 3:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±1 pts +19 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to PHX?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
✓
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 800 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ 12pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↓ Gusts to 27 kt forecast at PHX that day

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.22 in

PHX (destination) Gusts33 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 336 · DFW → PHX

Odds over time

How late did it get to PHX?