AA 569 · DFW → AVL

departs 12:50 PM CT · arrives 4:18 PM ET

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 16h before departure

Arrive at AVL more than 15 minutes late?

37% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to AVL?

On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 24% of the time recently

↑ 12pm departures from DFW are often late

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ AVL usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.01 in

AVL (destination) Gusts6 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.12 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 569 · DFW → AVL

Odds over time

How late will it get to AVL?