Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 614 SCHEDULED · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Sunday, October 4 Today

AA 614 · PHL → SJU

departs 9:52 AM ET · arrives 1:38 PM AT

Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at SJU more than 15 minutes late?

31% chance · ±0 pts +9 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 21% of the time recently

↑ SJU is prone to delays

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

PHL (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.08 in

SJU (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precip0.08 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 614 · PHL → SJU

Odds over time