AS 1047 · KOA → HNL

departs 9:53 AM HT · arrives 10:56 AM HT

Forecast issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at HNL more than 15 minutes late?

12% chance · ±0 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to HNL?

On time or early
87%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ HNL is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 25% of the time recently

↑ AS's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at HNL

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at KOA

Weather at each end

KOA (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

HNL (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling11,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 1047 · KOA → HNL

Odds over time

How late will it get to HNL?