tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 1134 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AS 1134 · LIH → HNL

departs 5:34 PM HT · arrives 6:11 PM HT
Forecast issued Fri 2:00 AM ET · 70h before departure
Arrive at HNL more than 15 minutes late?
17% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 6.1d Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to HNL?

  1. On time or early
    81%
  2. 15–30 min late
    6%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    5%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    5%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    2%
  6. Cancelled
    2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.