Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 1149SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AS 1149 · KOA → OGG
departs 12:51 PM HT · arrives 1:28 PM HT
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 AM ET · 57h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at OGG more than 15 minutes late?
18%chance · ±1 pts– · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to OGG?
On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.