Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 1322 LANDED 9:07 AM PT, ~7 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Sunday, October 4 Today

AS 1322 · PDX → BUR

took off 7:11 AM PT · landed 9:07 AM PT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · 10h after departure

Arrive at BUR more than 15 minutes late?

11% chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AS's recent on-time record

↑ BUR is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PDX

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

PDX (origin) Gusts6 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BUR (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 1322 · PDX → BUR

Odds over time