AS 1338 · BUR → SEA

departs 1:56 PM PT · arrives 4:29 PM PT

Forecast issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · 5h before departure

Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?

46% chance · ±0 pts +9 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to SEA?

On time or early
53%
15–30 min late
29%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ BUR is prone to delays

↑ SEA is prone to delays

↑ Arrivals into SEA at that hour are often late

↓ Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.25 mi forecast at SEA that day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BUR

Weather at each end

BUR (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SEA (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.25 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 1338 · BUR → SEA

Odds over time

How late will it get to SEA?