Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 1361SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AS 1361 · SEA → SAN
departs 6:21 AM PT · arrives 9:10 AM PT
Forecast issued Fri 7:00 AM ET · 50h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?
16%chance · ±1 pts– · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to SAN?
On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.