AS 1432 · ANC → FAI

departs 10:17 AM AKT · arrives 11:30 AM AKT

Forecast issued Sun 10:00 AM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at FAI more than 15 minutes late?

10% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to FAI?

On time or early
89%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AS's recent on-time record

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at ANC

↑ Other factors

↓ 10am departures from ANC are usually not late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at FAI

Weather at each end

ANC (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling3,967 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.12 in

FAI (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 1432 · ANC → FAI

Odds over time

How late will it get to FAI?