Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 1625SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AS 1625 · LAX → SFO
departs 6:00 AM PT · arrives 7:22 AM PT
Forecast issued Fri 9:00 AM ET · 48h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
7%chance · ±1 pts+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to SFO?
On time or early
92%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.