AS 225 · PDX → MCI

departs 11:55 AM PT · arrives 5:19 PM CT

Forecast issued Sun 9:00 AM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?

15% chance · ±0 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to MCI?

On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into MCI at that hour are often late

↑ Other factors

↑ AS's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PDX

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MCI

Weather at each end

PDX (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MCI (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility9 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 225 · PDX → MCI

Odds over time

How late will it get to MCI?