AS 226 · MCI → PDX

departs 6:14 PM CT · arrives 8:01 PM PT

Forecast issued Sun 1:00 PM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at PDX more than 15 minutes late?

16% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PDX?

On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 6pm departures from MCI are often late

↑ Other factors

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PDX

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MCI

Weather at each end

MCI (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility9 mi Precipnone

PDX (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 226 · MCI → PDX

Odds over time

How late will it get to PDX?