Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 241SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AS 241 · IAH → SEA
departs 8:00 AM CT · arrives 10:41 AM PT
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 35h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
26%chance · ±2 pts−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to SEA?
On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.