AS 331 · ANC → FAI

took off 7:38 AM AKT · landed 8:17 AM AKT (scheduled 7:46 AM AKT → 8:58 AM AKT)

Forecast issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at FAI more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to FAI?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AS's recent on-time record

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at ANC

↑ Other factors

↓ Arrivals into FAI at that hour are usually not late

↓ 7am departures from ANC are usually not late

Weather at each end

ANC (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.16 in

FAI (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 331 · ANC → FAI

Odds over time

How late did it get to FAI?