Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 384SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AS 384 · FAT → SEA
departs 1:27 PM PT · arrives 3:43 PM PT
Forecast issued Fri 2:00 PM ET · 50h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
17%chance · ±3 pts– · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to SEA?
On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.