AS 392 · DFW → PDX

departs 6:41 PM CT · arrives 8:42 PM PT

Forecast issued Sun 3:00 PM ET · 5h before departure

Arrive at PDX more than 15 minutes late?

45% chance · ±0 pts +18 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to PDX?

On time or early
55%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 6pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Cloud base down to 800 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PDX

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.22 in

PDX (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 392 · DFW → PDX

Odds over time

How late will it get to PDX?