Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 533SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AS 533 · SEA → OAK
departs 7:09 AM PT · arrives 9:23 AM PT
Forecast issued Fri 1:00 AM ET · 57h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at OAK more than 15 minutes late?
13%chance · ±0 pts– · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to OAK?
On time or early
86%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.