Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 62 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, October 4

AS 62 · JNU → SIT

departs 9:55 AM AKDT · arrives 10:40 AM AKDT

Forecast issued Fri 4:00 AM ET · 58h before departure

Arrive at SIT more than 15 minutes late?

15% chance · ±3 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SIT?

On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 1.4 in of rain forecast at SIT that day

↑ 1.7 in of rain forecast at JNU that day

↑ Other factors

↓ JNU usually runs smoothly

↓ 9am departures from JNU are usually not late

Weather at each end

JNU (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling1,700 ft Visibility3 mi Precip1.56 in

SIT (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling1,500 ft Visibility3 mi Precip1.46 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 62 · JNU → SIT

Odds over time

How late will it get to SIT?