AS 7011 · ANC → OME

departs 9:15 AM AKT · arrives 11:03 AM AKDT

Forecast issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at OME more than 15 minutes late?

82% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to OME?

On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AS's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 20% of the time recently

↓ 9am departures from ANC are usually not late

↓ Arrivals into OME at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

ANC (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.16 in

OME (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 7011 · ANC → OME

Odds over time

How late will it get to OME?