AS 715 · HNL → SLC

departs 12:52 PM HT · arrives 10:43 PM MT

Forecast issued Sun 5:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?

30% chance · ±0 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to SLC?

On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 12pm departures from HNL are often late

↑ AS's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into SLC at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SLC

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

HNL (origin) Gusts23 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SLC (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 715 · HNL → SLC

Odds over time

How late will it get to SLC?