Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 746SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AS 746 · PDX → PHX
departs 5:51 PM PT · arrives 8:37 PM MT
Forecast issued Fri 6:00 PM ET · 51h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
25%chance · ±1 pts– · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to PHX?
On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.