Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 817SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AS 817 · LAS → HNL
departs 1:55 AM PT · arrives 5:16 AM HT
Forecast issued Fri 7:00 AM ET · 46h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at HNL more than 15 minutes late?
22%chance · ±3 pts– · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to HNL?
On time or early
78%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.