Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 840SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AS 840 · HNL → PDX
departs 7:45 AM HT · arrives 4:17 PM PT
Forecast issued Fri 4:00 PM ET · 46h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at PDX more than 15 minutes late?
12%chance · ±2 pts−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to PDX?
On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.