AS 879 · HNL → PDX

departs 9:52 PM HT · arrives 6:43 AM PT

Forecast issued Sun 11:00 AM ET · 17h before departure

Arrive at PDX more than 15 minutes late?

24% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PDX?

On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ HNL is prone to delays

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ This flight has been late 22% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at HNL

↓ Arrivals into PDX at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

HNL (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PDX (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 879 · HNL → PDX

Odds over time

How late will it get to PDX?