Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 889 IN THE AIR (OFF 7:43 AM PT, ETA 9:52 AM HT) · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Sunday, October 4 Today

AS 889 · PDX → OGG

took off 7:43 AM PT · expected to land 9:52 AM HT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sun 10:00 AM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at OGG more than 15 minutes late?

18% chance · ±1 pts +6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ OGG is prone to delays

↑ AS's recent on-time record

↑ Other factors

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PDX

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

PDX (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

OGG (destination) Gusts28 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 889 · PDX → OGG

Odds over time