AS 962 · LAX → OGG

departs 10:02 AM PT · arrives 12:54 PM HT

Forecast issued Sun 10:00 AM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at OGG more than 15 minutes late?

31% chance · ±0 pts +8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to OGG?

On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 10am departures from LAX are often late

↑ OGG is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 25% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX

↓ Gusts to 25 kt forecast at OGG that day

Weather at each end

LAX (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

OGG (destination) Gusts28 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 962 · LAX → OGG

Odds over time

How late will it get to OGG?